With pressure on education schools to be more selective about choosing their students, it seems a good idea to ask how academic selectivity is related to who ends up actually teaching.
Here’s a statistical estimate of the relation between SAT scores and the probability that an education major ends up teaching the year after graduation.
- Raising admission standards to ed schools may not have a huge effect on teacher supply, as high-scoring applicants are more likely to eventually end up as teachers.
- Admitting low-scoring applicants may not be doing them much of a favor if they’re unlikely to end up teaching anyway.
Late addition: The graph is from a logit I ran using the Baccalaureate and Beyond data.